Fire takes no vacation: impact of fires on tourism

Abstract Many Mediterranean-type climates around the world will face increased risks of wildfires as a consequence climate change. In this study we consider case Portugal and estimate impact increasing risk forest fires on tourism. Using data for 278 municipalities 2000–2016 period, find considerable negative burned areas number tourist arrivals, both domestic inbound. We go beyond traditional analysis provide predictions 2030 2050. The estimated annual costs to Portuguese economy due in range between €17.03 24.18 million arrivals €18.26 38.08 inbound ones. 2050, those increase at least fourfold. These findings underscore importance taking fire into account when planning local investments.